Tag: Election of Interest (page 1 of 19)

It is Trump

[Flag of the United States]And then there was one. After starting the presidential election cycle with seventeen major candidates, the Republican party has narrowed that list to just one: Donald Trump.

If the goal is to retake the presidency, is Trump the best decision?

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Hard Data

We published this article on The Conversation. Shortly thereafter, Newsweek picked it up. The authors: Mark Payton, Oklahoma State University and Ole J. Forsberg, Oklahoma State University

[Flag of the United States]And so, Super Tuesday as well as Saturday’s caucuses and primaries are behind us. If the rest of the primary season holds to this trend, it appears the battle for the presidency will be between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Each leads in both state wins and delegate counts. Clinton has won 12 of 19 contests, garnering 1,121 of the 2,383 needed delegates. Trump has also won 12 of 19 states and 382 of the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination.

A common argument made by candidates is that they – and not their opponents – are electable. Examples of this rhetoric can be seen in both political parties. Bernie Sanders, expecting a Trump victory on the Republican side, has stated that Hillary Clinton cannot defeat Trump in the general election. On the Republican side, Marco Rubio has clearly stated the he is the “best chance” to beat Hillary Clinton.

However, how valid are these claims of exclusive electability?

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Fox and Republicans

[Flag of the United States]On November 8, 2016, the American people will go to the polls to elect a successor to Democratic President Barack Obama. That date is more than 15 months from now. However, the US presidential election is making headlines already. The first Republican debate will be held on August 6.

Who will be in it?

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Bashir and Sudan

[Flag of Sudan]The Republic of the Sudan is a one-party dominant State. According to the constitution, the Sudanese Presidency has a five-year term, with no restrictions on re-elections. President Omar al-Bashir became the seventh president of Sudan in 1989. Today, he stands for his fourth election.

What are his chances of winning?

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Jonathan Lost

[Flag of Nigeria]The Federal Republic of Nigeria held its latest quadrennial presidential election. Most polls showed the challenger, Muhammadu Buhari, ahead of incumbent Goodluck Jonathan. None of the polls, however, were believable in terms of sampling method, age, and weighting. But, broken clocks and poor polls can be right once in a while. Buhari won and Jonathan willingly stepped down. This is the biggest step a State can make on its way to full democracy.

What can we learn about the election?

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