Author: Ole J. Forsberg, Ph.D. (page 1 of 55)

Turkish Delight

[Turkish Flag]Once again, Erdoğan seeks to alter the political structure of the Republic of Turkey. When he became the Prime Minister in 2003, the Turkish state reflected the long Turkish history of seeking Europe. Atatürk created a Western state out of the remains of the Ottoman Empire. The new Republic of Turkey combined France's parliamentary system and anti-clericalism. Since then, Erdoğan has consistently moved Turkey from a French system towards a US system.

The 2017 constitutional referendum marked the latest step. How did it go, and what can we learn about Turkey?

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The Gambia

[Flag of the Gambia]The Islamic Republic of the Gambia came into being in 1965, after winning independence from the United Kingdom. In the intervening half-century, the Gambia has flirted with democracy, a union with Senegal, and military government. The current president, Yahya Jammeh, came to power in 1994 as a result of a military coup. In December 2016, the Gambia held its fourth presidential election since then.

How did Jammeh do against his rival, Barrow?

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The E-Mail Bump

[Flag of the United States]The US Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) has ended its investigation in to the use of a private server by Hillary Clinton. The US Department of Justice (DOJ) has declined to bring charges against her.

How much has this helped the presidential aspirations of Donald Trump?

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It is Trump

[Flag of the United States]And then there was one. After starting the presidential election cycle with seventeen major candidates, the Republican party has narrowed that list to just one: Donald Trump.

If the goal is to retake the presidency, is Trump the best decision?

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Hard Data

We published this article on The Conversation. Shortly thereafter, Newsweek picked it up. The authors: Mark Payton, Oklahoma State University and Ole J. Forsberg, Oklahoma State University

[Flag of the United States]And so, Super Tuesday as well as Saturday’s caucuses and primaries are behind us. If the rest of the primary season holds to this trend, it appears the battle for the presidency will be between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Each leads in both state wins and delegate counts. Clinton has won 12 of 19 contests, garnering 1,121 of the 2,383 needed delegates. Trump has also won 12 of 19 states and 382 of the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination.

A common argument made by candidates is that they – and not their opponents – are electable. Examples of this rhetoric can be seen in both political parties. Bernie Sanders, expecting a Trump victory on the Republican side, has stated that Hillary Clinton cannot defeat Trump in the general election. On the Republican side, Marco Rubio has clearly stated the he is the “best chance” to beat Hillary Clinton.

However, how valid are these claims of exclusive electability?

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